The next federal election is supposed to be in October, but there’s a lot of talk in political circles that it could come early.Political analyst Alan Warnke says he’s starting to think there’s at least a 50-50 chance Prime Minister Stephen Harper could call the election in the late spring.

The retired VIU Poli Sci prof says one trigger could be the commitment of armed forces to fight extremists in the middle east.

Warnke says a couple of sure signs campaigning is already underway were the recent visits to BC from the NDP’s Tom Mulcair and Justin Trudeau of the Liberals.